Bitcoin vs. S&P 500: Win rate recovers to 50% as post-midterm history favors stocks

CoinTelegraph · 2026-11-05
Bitcoin vs. S&P 500: Win rate recovers to 50% as post-midterm history favors stocks

Bitcoin has matched the S&P 500 in half of the last 90 US trading sessions, a recovery from earlier underperformance. This comes as historical data shows stocks tend to rise after midterm elections, with the S&P 500 gaining an average of 15% in the 12 months following. The cryptocurrency's improving relative strength may signal shifting investor sentiment. However, past performance does not guarantee future results, and both assets face macroeconomic uncertainty. Investors are watching whether Bitcoin can sustain its momentum or if equities will dominate as they often do post-midterms.