S&P 500 Flat for 5 Months, But Valuation Drops Below Averages—A Buying Opportunity?

MarketWatch · 2026-11-02
S&P 500 Flat for 5 Months, But Valuation Drops Below Averages—A Buying Opportunity?

The S&P 500 has traded sideways for the past five months, frustrating investors but quietly improving the market's valuation. The index's forward price-to-earnings ratio has fallen below both its five-year and 10-year averages, signaling that stocks may now be cheaper relative to expected earnings. This shift matters because valuation is a key driver of long-term returns, and a below-average multiple has historically preceded stronger performance. While sideways markets test patience, they can reset expectations and create entry points for disciplined investors. The current setup suggests that the lack of price progress has made the market more attractive on a fundamental basis, even as macroeconomic uncertainties persist. Investors weighing new positions may find the risk-reward balance more favorable than it was earlier in the year. The takeaway: a stalled market isn't necessarily a warning sign—it can be a quiet opportunity for those focused on underlying earnings power.