AI Safety Leader Nate Soares Stops Saving for Retirement, Predicts 50% Chance of Human Extinction Within 10 Years

Business Insider · 2026-10-27
AI Safety Leader Nate Soares Stops Saving for Retirement, Predicts 50% Chance of Human Extinction Within 10 Years

Nate Soares, a prominent figure in the AI safety community, has made a startling personal decision: he has stopped saving for retirement. The reason? He believes there is a better-than-50% chance that artificial intelligence will cause human extinction within the next decade. Soares, who leads the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI), has long warned about the existential risks of advanced AI, but his latest statement underscores the urgency he feels. By forgoing retirement savings, he is putting his money where his mouth is, signaling that he does not expect a future in which he would need those funds. This move highlights the deep pessimism among some AI researchers about the technology's trajectory. While many in the tech industry focus on AI's benefits, Soares and others argue that without robust safety measures, superintelligent systems could pose an unprecedented threat. His stance serves as a wake-up call about the potential consequences of unchecked AI development. As AI capabilities rapidly advance, the debate over its risks is no longer theoretical—it is affecting real-life decisions. The question remains whether humanity will heed these warnings in time.